What an analysis finds

Findings from real analyses, anonymized.
The sources stay, the names don’t.

Each comes from a Birdy analysis of a real company, analysed product by product. We take the name off. We keep the source, the date we retrieved it, and how strong the evidence is.

How to read each finding

Risk. A rule that binds, a scope that catches, a commitment not reported.

Value. A cost removed, or demand that arrives sooner.

Tier

The evidence tier the analysis assigned, where it assigned one: Verified or Inferred.

Rules are cited as at the date shown. Several have taken effect since.

Finding 01
Demand Map
Steel

The rules that will move a European steelmaker’s sales are written for its customers, not for it.

EU rules require every new car sold from 2035 to be zero-emission, and carmakers are cutting the carbon in what they buy. One carmaker began series purchases of the company’s low-CO2 steel in 2026. That demand is now in the order book, not a forecast.

Source: Regulation (EU) 2019/631 as amended by Regulation (EU) 2023/851; the company’s interim report, first half 2025/26. Retrieved 19 June 2026.

Finding 02
Peer Map
Steel

One rival already ships low-carbon steel. Two more start in 2027. The price premium goes to whoever is first.

Analysts put the premium for low-carbon steel at $300–500 a tonne through 2030. Conventional steel is not lost to a forecast. It is lost to the supplier that gets a compliant product to market first.

Source: the rivals’ own public announcements (first deliveries; plants dated 2027); McKinsey, Decarbonization challenge for steel (analyst estimate). Retrieved 19 June 2026.

Finding 03
Demand Map
Grid

Grid spending needs to nearly double, to over $600bn a year by 2030. The same steelmaker is the EU’s largest maker of the steel transformers need.

Transformer steel is the line where the company already leads in the EU, so the demand arrives where it is strongest.

Source: IEA, Electricity Grids and Secure Energy Transitions (2023); the company’s investor facts, May 2026. Retrieved 19 June 2026.

Finding 04
Regulatory Map
Steel packaging

EU packaging rules have applied since 12 August 2026. They work in favour of the region’s largest maker of steel for cans.

All packaging must be recyclable, some single-use plastic formats are restricted, and deposit-return schemes for metal and plastic drinks containers are due by 2029.

Revenue link inferred

Source: Regulation (EU) 2025/40, the Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation. Retrieved 19 June 2026.

Finding 05
Demand Map
Energy supply

There is no UK ban on new gas boilers. A supplier’s gas book shrinks gradually, not off a cliff.

Gas demand falls through rules on new homes and on boiler makers, not through a ban in existing homes. A supplier that also sells heat pumps, smart tariffs and solar can win back on electricity what it loses on gas.

Revenue link inferred

Source: The Building Regulations etc. (Amendment) (England) Regulations 2026 (Future Homes Standard), in force 24 March 2027; Clean Heat Market Mechanism Regulations 2025 (SI 2025/81), heat-pump share rising from 6% to 8% on 1 April 2026. Retrieved 19 June 2026.

Finding 06
Stated Position
Power

A European utility cut its green investment plan by €10bn. Almost half of what is left goes to the US, weighted to gas.

The programme now totals €35bn, and €17bn of it is for the US, focused on new gas-fired plants as power demand rises. The pledge says where the company is heading. The capital plan says where the money is going.

Source: the company’s Annual Report 2024, 20 March 2025; its full-year 2025 results, 12 March 2026, as reported by Bloomberg and Utility Dive. Retrieved 19 June 2026.

Finding 08
Demand Map
Property services

Six policies that drove demand for a property-services firm were cut, delayed, or eased in 2025 and 2026.

A seventh, the SEC climate rule, faces a proposal to rescind it entirely. Policy removes demand as well as creating it.

Revenue link inferred

Source: Delegated Regulation (EU) 2026/73; Directive (EU) 2026/470; US Public Law 119-21 (§179D); UK MEES 2027 step withdrawn (gov.uk); Washington, DC building-performance cycles deferred (code.dccouncil.gov); Denver rules eased 27 August 2026 (secondary source); SEC rescission proposal, 29 May 2026. Retrieved 13 October 2026.

Finding 09
Regulatory Map
Footwear and apparel

Cattle leather is no longer covered by the EU deforestation rule.

The change was published on 17 September 2026, so leather-heavy brands no longer need a due-diligence statement under that rule for leather. The question returns at the rule’s 2030 review. Knowing where not to spend is a finding too.

Source: Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2026/2102, Official Journal, 17 September 2026. Retrieved 2 October 2026.

Finding 10
Regulatory Map
Education technology

Reading the scope text moves an edtech holding’s customer deadline forward a year.

Large school districts are not “special districts”, so their web content must meet the accessibility standard by 26 April 2027, not 2028. That can bring the holding’s customer demand forward; the analysis marks that link as inferred.

Inferred

Source: 28 CFR 35.104; 91 FR 20902, effective 20 April 2026. Retrieved 12 September 2026.

Finding 11
Stated Position
Footwear

EU rules on environmental claims now apply. A footwear brand still shows its 2025 targets as “not reported”.

Its last published result was less than half of its target. A commitment made and not reported against is a finding, and often a louder one than a disclosure.

Source: Directive (EU) 2024/825, applying from 27 September 2026; the brand’s 2024 sustainability report and website, read 13 October 2026.

Finding 12
Providers
Packaging

Nine providers grade packaging recyclability. None shows coverage of all three fee regimes.

Germany, Italy, and the US states each price the grade. Covering all three is a project to scope across providers, not a service to buy from one.

Source: each provider’s own public pages, 23 September 2026. Providers are matched on fit, never ranked against each other.

Your company, or one you hold

Your analysis, with your tailored insights.

We start with the public record, so nothing is needed from you or from the company. Your Baseline arrives in 3 weeks, with its Playbook.

Findings are drawn from Birdy analyses on the public record. Companies are not named. Not investment advice.